T1strongest T2lean T3weak reject / n/a
Candidate HermesChatGPTClaudeGeminiPerplexity Board
Victor Wembanyama
Under 13.5 Rebounds
T1T3T3T1 Win
Victor Wembanyama
Under 3.5 Blocks
T2T2T1T2 Win
Padres
Over 0 Moneyline
T2T2T3T2 Loss
Emerson Hancock
Under 3.5 Pitcher Earned Runs
T3T3T2T3 Win
NO ACTION / board-only learning log (3-1 board; false D removal)

The Hermes note never recorded a final Dan wager, ticket, stake, or personal-site ledger entry. The harnesses split across A, B, and C, while D was the shared removal candidate. This page preserves the day as learning data: the Wembanyama correlated under cluster was right, the cleaner Padres main-market control was wrong, and the heavy-juice Hancock ER under won despite being the clearest removal.

✗ Loss

The visible board finished 3-1 with both Wembanyama unders and Hancock U3.5 ER winning, while Padres ML lost 4-3. There was no known bankroll/Martingale impact because no ticket was logged, but as a process result this was an opportunity-cost miss and a false-removal counterexample rather than a correct PASS.

Victor Wembanyama
Spurs @ Thunder · 7:30 PM
Win
Under 13.5 Rebounds -138
Rithmm
69.2%
BE
57.98%
DTM
26.3%
Recent
L10 4/10
9.6 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama
Spurs @ Thunder · 7:30 PM
Win
Under 3.5 Blocks -128
Rithmm
72.2%
BE
56.14%
DTM
36.4%
Recent
L10 7/10
2.8 blocks
Padres
Padres vs Phillies · 8:40 PM
Loss
Over 0 Moneyline -115
Rithmm
60.5%
BE
53.49%
DTM
15.1%
Recent
L10 6/10
Padres 5.1, Phillies 3.8
Emerson Hancock
Mariners @ Athletics · 8:40 PM
Win
Under 3.5 Pitcher Earned Runs -163
Rithmm
63.5%
BE
61.98%
DTM
4%
Recent
L10 9/10
2.7 earned runs
Hermes
NO ACTION / false D removal
✗ Loss

No official Experiment Bet, Dan decision, ticket, stake, or personal-site ledger entry was logged, so there was no known bankroll impact. As a learning result, the no-action/pending process missed a 3-1 board and Hermes' clearest absolute removal, Hancock U3.5 ER, won with 0 ER.

ChatGPT
Wembanyama U13.5 rebounds
✓ Correct

ChatGPT's cleaner Wembanyama rebound-under starter won. Wembanyama played 38 minutes but finished with only 6 rebounds against the 13.5 line.

Claude
Padres ML
✗ Loss

Claude's main-market/control pick lost. Philadelphia beat San Diego 4-3, so the supposedly cleaner Padres moneyline became the board's only loss.

Gemini
Wembanyama U3.5 blocks
✓ Correct

Gemini trusted the strongest raw Rithmm edge despite defensive-stat spike risk. Wembanyama finished with 3 blocks, so the under won by one block.

Perplexity
Wembanyama U13.5 rebounds
✓ Correct

Perplexity matched ChatGPT's Wembanyama rebound-under lean. The pick won comfortably with Wembanyama at 6 rebounds.