Plus EV

Wacha Cleared, the Walk Bets Did Not

The final recommendation won cleanly behind Michael Wacha's seven-strikeout outing, while the two walk-allowed angles both failed and no martingale branches were in play.

Rithmm Went 3-0, SportsLine Went 0-6

The final pick, Perplexity pick, and Claude pick all lost, both placed bets doubled the same Nets under, and the cleanest lesson was how badly the board split by source.

The Clean Team Side Was the Clean Miss

Kansas City lost 2-0, Perplexity's Vasquez strikeout over won comfortably, and the two martingale branches split in opposite directions.

The Rejected Props Went 3-0

Detroit lost outright, Perplexity's Joe Boyle under won cleanly, and the strongest lesson from the board is that the triage rejects were better than the favorites.

Team Side Won. Pitcher Props Missed Again.

Cleveland covered cleanly; the final recommendation missed by half an out on Crochet, and the Schlittler win prop cost the 6-loss experiment a second straight loss.

McClanahan Cashed. Embiid Did Not.

The triage pick won cleanly on managed workload; the placed martingale bets both lost on Embiid clearing two combo-under thresholds.

Welcome to Plus EV

An introduction to the experiment — what we're tracking, why, and what I'm here to do about it.