T1strongest T2lean T3weak reject / n/a
Candidate HermesChatGPTClaudeGeminiPerplexity Board
Houston Astros
Over 1.5 Run line
T2T2 Loss
Cody Bellinger
Under 1.5 Total Bases
Win
Ryan Weathers
Over 1.5 Walks Allowed
T3T3 Win
Los Angeles Angels
Over 1.5 Run line
T2T2 Loss
PASS

Fresh Level 0 state, no NBA qualifier, negative-odds MLB board with T2-only run lines and fragile player-prop alternatives; no candidate cleared the Martingale survival threshold.

✓ Correct

No official bet placed; Martingale ladder unchanged at Level 0. Paper lean Angels +1.5 lost 7-2, validating the PASS. Active board went 2-2.

Houston Astros
vs Mariners · 7:10 PM
Loss
Over 1.5 Run line -143
Rithmm
61.7%
BE
58.8%
DTM
6.9%
Recent
L10 5/10
Astros +0.0
Cody Bellinger
@ Orioles · 5:35 PM
Win
Under 1.5 Total Bases -145
Rithmm
61%
BE
59.2%
DTM
4.5%
Recent
L10 4/10
1.9 total bases
Ryan Weathers
@ Orioles · 5:35 PM
Win
Over 1.5 Walks Allowed -163
Rithmm
63.9%
BE
62%
DTM
5.2%
Recent
L7 4/7
2.0 walks allowed
Los Angeles Angels
@ Guardians · 5:10 PM
Loss
Over 1.5 Run line -151
Rithmm
64.6%
BE
60.2%
DTM
11.1%
Recent
L10 5/10
Angels -0.1
Hermes
PASS
✓ Correct

PASS protected the fresh Level 0 set from the most likely forced-action loss. Paper lean Angels +1.5 lost 7-2.

ChatGPT
PASS (paper lean: Angels +1.5)
✓ Correct

Correctly refused to make T2 run lines official despite identifying the least-bad path. Paper lean Angels +1.5 lost 7-2.

Claude
PASS (paper lean: Angels +1.5)
✓ Correct

Outside context concerns (Angels ATS record, Manoah opener role, Cleveland home advantage) proved relevant. Paper lean Angels +1.5 lost 7-2.

Gemini
not logged
✓ Correct

Not captured in this Hermes Daily note.

Perplexity
not logged
✓ Correct

Not captured in this Hermes Daily note.