Harness Analysis
| Candidate | Hermes | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini | Perplexity | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ Under 0.5 RBIs | — | T2 | T2 | T3 | T2 | Win |
| Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Total Bases | — | T3 | T3 | T3 | T3 | Win |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 RBIs | — | T2 | T2 | T3 | T2 | Win |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds | — | T2 | T3 | T3 | T1 | Win |
Final Decision
Harness consensus is strongly skip-oriented, and the one non-skip recommendation (Claude → PCA) is explicitly marginal rather than a Tier 1 safety spot. The board is structurally fragile: correlated Cubs hitter unders plus a volatile NBA star under.
Board went 4-0 — all candidates won cleanly. PASS was a missed opportunity; Wembanyama covered at 26 P+R vs 39.5 line, and all three Cubs hitter unders hit. Claude's dissenting PCA pick was the correct call.
Candidates
- Rithmm
- 62%
- BE
- 60.2%
- DTM
- 4.7%
- Recent
- L10 8/10
- Rithmm
- 60.7%
- BE
- 58.7%
- DTM
- 4.8%
- Recent
- L10 6/10
- Rithmm
- 62.7%
- BE
- 60.8%
- DTM
- 5%
- Recent
- L10 8/10
- Rithmm
- 65%
- BE
- 55%
- DTM
- 22.3%
- Recent
- L10 5/10
Harness Notes
Auditor recommended PASS; board went 4-0, making this a missed opportunity rather than a loss avoided.
Recommended SKIP citing Cubs correlation and Wembanyama minute risk; board went 4-0, so skip missed wins but avoided no actual loss.
PCA U0.5 RBIs won — PCA went 1-for-4 with a triple (3 TB, 1 R) but 0 RBI. Only harness with an actionable pick; it was correct, though board went 4-0.
Rated all candidates Tier 3 and recommended SKIP; board went 4-0. Most conservative harness — correct in avoiding loss, but overstated fragility across the board.
Recommended SKIP; Wembanyama actually finished 11 pts + 15 reb = 26 P+R vs 39.5 line, a dominant cover. Board went 4-0.