Harness Analysis
| Candidate | Hermes | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini | Perplexity | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox Over 1.5 Run Line | — | T1 | T2 | T2 | T2 | Win |
| Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Pitcher Ks | — | T3 | T3 | T3 | T3 | Loss |
| Ranger Suarez Under 5.5 Pitcher Ks | — | T2 | T1 | T1 | T1 | Loss |
Final Decision
Harness tiering favored C clearly after matchup verification, but price-adjusted edge was thin and the bet type was fragile. Official PASS remained correct given unknown Martingale level.
PASS protected the experiment. Paper lean C Suarez lost (8 Ks vs Phillies); A White Sox +1.5 won. Board went 1-2. No official Martingale loss recorded.
Candidates
- Rithmm
- 61.6%
- BE
- 58.7%
- DTM
- 7.1%
- Recent
- L10 7/10
- Rithmm
- 60.6%
- BE
- 58.3%
- DTM
- 5.5%
- Recent
- L8 1/8
- Rithmm
- 64.4%
- BE
- 62.1%
- DTM
- 6.1%
- Recent
- L7 5/7
Harness Notes
Official PASS protected the experiment. Paper lean C Suarez lost (8 Ks in 5.1 IP vs Phillies). A White Sox +1.5 won; no official Martingale loss recorded.
White Sox beat Royals 6-2; +1.5 covered easily. Structural-safety preference over fragile K-unders was validated — the only harness to pick A.
Suarez recorded 8 Ks in 5.1 IP vs Phillies. Matchup was confirmed but strikeout density exceeded the 5.5 line despite a normal-length outing.
Suarez had 8 Ks in 5.1 IP vs Phillies. Pitch-to-contact thesis was wrong; Phillies lineup generated high strikeout density against an efficient outing.
Must-fire pick C Suarez lost (8 Ks in 5.1 IP). The strict-SKIP caveat was the process-correct call; losing result attributed to the must-fire recommendation.